Benin
Weather: Precipitation throughout Benin was mostly in line with historic averages, though the regions of Boukoumbé and Natitingou received considerably more than long term averages (105 and 111 mm respectively). Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT*
Yield 2025 (harvest year): 430 kg/ha
Forecast 2026: 412 kg/ha – early estimates based on regional price fluctuations and macro trends.
Brazil
Weather: Despite being wetter than the long-term average in many areas, weekly precipitation during the dry season remained low, peaking near 20 mm in São Luís. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT
Yield 2024 (harvest year): 358 kg/ha
Forecast 2025: 290 to 300 kg/ha
· Down from last year
· Up from last week due to improved moisture levels.
Cambodia
Weather: Weekly precipitation was broadly in line with historical averages, ranging from 60 to 90 mm across cashew-growing areas. Temperatures, however, remained cooler than normal, averaging 24–26°C against a long-term average of 26.7–28.8°C. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT
Production 2025 (harvest year): 850,000 tons
Forecast 2026: Insufficient data following implementation of changes to government subsidies. Reviewing this weekly.
India
Weather: This week’s monsoon was concentrated along India’s western coast. Sindhudurg and Ratnagiri logged ~285 mm and ~274 mm, more than double their long-term averages. Goa and coastal Karnataka also registered significant surpluses (~270–280 mm vs. ~130 mm LTA). By contrast, Odisha remained relatively dry, with Puri seeing just ~71 mm, only half its usual seasonal precipitation. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT
Production 2025 (harvest year): ~800,000
Forecast 2026: 780,000 tons – down 2% from last year – very early forecast based on dry beginning to season.
Indonesia
Weather: Precipitation was highly variable this week. Mamuju Utara in Sulawesi recorded ~86 mm, almost double its LTA, while Mataram also saw heavy showers (~34 mm vs. 10 mm LTA). By contrast, Kupang was nearly dry. Temperatures across key regions ran slightly cooler than average. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT
Yield 2023 (harvest year, 2024 not available): 366 kg/ha
Forecast 2025: 376 kg/ha – up 1.5% from last week based on recent weather trends.
Ivory Coast
Weather: Modest precipitation across northern Ivory Coast, with Savanes and Woroba registering totals slightly below the seasonal norm, while Zanzan was near average. Temperatures held broadly steady against the long-term mean, with no major anomalies observed. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT
Production 2025 (harvest year): 1,250,000 tons
Forecast 2026: Initial data says decrease of 10% to 15%. However, anti-smuggling efforts and changes in farming practices could increase the production. Our model will be updated to take smuggling into account.
Nigeria
Weather: While temperatures remain consistent with long-term trends, the cashew producing regions of Nigeria are experiencing a drier week than is usual for this time of year. Enugu’s weekly precipitation is down from 61mm to 26mm and Kogi’s similarly has dropped from 58mm to 29mm.
Yield 2025 (harvest year): 500 kg/ha
Forecast 2026: 450 kg/ha – down 12% from last year, very early season prediction (start June end May), following multi-year downward trend.
Tanzania
Weather: Temperatures in Tanzania remained similar to the LTA, up 1°C in Mtwara (24.9°C vs 23.85°C) and Lindi (24.5°C vs 23.4°C). Bagayomo experienced a drop in precipitation compared to its long-term average, down 2.42mm from 7.5mm to 5.08mm. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT
Production 2025 (harvest year): 528,000 tons
Forecast 2026: 559,000 tons – No change from last week.
Vietnam
Weather: Vietnam experienced a wet week in comparison to previous years. Đồng Xoài’s precipitation increased from an LTA of 67mm to 109mm for this week. In addition, Biên Hòa rose from 61mm to 82mm. As well as being wetter, the same regions had reduced temperatures, Đồng Xoài down from 27.6°C to 24.8°C and Đồng Xoài down from 28°C to 25.6°C.
Yield 2025 (harvest year): 1,200 kg/ha
Forecast 2026: 1,460 kg/ha – Very early estimate driven by spike in cashew pricing.
Market News
Vietnam has surpassed expectations in cashew exports for the first seven months of 2025, achieving significant export revenues estimated at $261.8 billion USD, marking a 14.6% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Monthly averages during this timeframe hit $37.4 billion USD, with May and June each exceeding $39.5 billion USD in exports and July anticipated to exceed $41.6 billion USD.
The country’s import turnover also saw a significant rise, amounting to about $252.1 billion USD, a 17.9% increase from the previous year. This increase in imports is attributed to the boosted importation of raw materials necessary for meeting the rising demand in export orders. Despite the increase, Vietnam maintained a trade surplus of $9.7 billion USD, lower than the $12.6 billion USD surplus recorded in the previous year. This surplus supports maintaining foreign exchange reserves, stabilizing monetary policy, and sustaining development in the medium and long term.
Administratively, Vietnam is enhancing efficiency through the simplification of procedures and introduction of new regulations. The Import and Export Department is set to propose the issuance of Decree No. 146 and Circular Nos. 38 and 40 in mid-2025, aimed at decentralizing functions within the trade sector and streamlining the issuance of certificates of origin. This initiative will also reduce the compliance costs associated with 44 administrative procedures by 32.5%.
In terms of policy and digital transformation, the industry is encouraged to stay informed about trade policies, navigate technical barriers, invest in quality and technology enhancements, and engage with digital transformations to adhere to international standards. The government is also pushing for domestic enterprises to participate in production and supply chains with foreign-invested and global enterprises, fostering more robust market connections and expansion opportunities. Updated market information, timely updates on market demands, and policy advisements are part of the holistic approach to maintaining competitiveness and compliance with international trade standards.
*Side note: Once on the CropGPT website, select “Cashews” at the top left of the page to access all related reports and data in the sidebar.
We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. For more information, please read our Privacy Policy.