Weekly Cashew Report: Week 38 2025

Benin

Weather: Rainfall was sharply below normal across nearly all producing regions. Northern and central districts such as Parakou, Djougou, and Natitingou collected just 19–62 mm, less than half of their LTAs of ~80 mm. Deficits were even more pronounced in the south, where Abomey, Bohicon, Savalou, and Glazoué received only 6–10 mm against norms above 55–75 mm. Temperatures were steady to slightly warm, with no anomalies greater than +0.5 °C. Conditions were distinctly drier than usual overall. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT*

Yield 2025 (harvest year): 430 kg/ha

Forecast 2026: 410 kg/ha (down 0.5% from last week due to dry conditions).

 

Brazil

Weather: The northeast remained very dry and hot inland, with Piripiri and Campo Maior recording virtually no rain and running 0.8–1.0 °C warmer than average. Chapadinha and Mossoró were also dry, with totals under 2 mm. By contrast, coastal Natal had 15 mm, a modest surplus against its 8 mm LTA, though temperatures stayed near seasonal norms. Further south, Bahia’s Ilhéus stood out with 26 mm, about 5 mm above average, while Porto Seguro was slightly drier than usual. Overall, a week of interior heat and dryness moderated only along the coast. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2024 (harvest year): 358 kg/ha

Forecast 2025: 290 to 300 kg/ha (no change from last week – expected to be off-year in alternate bearing cycle).

 

Cambodia

Weather: Heavy rains dominated most cashew areas, with Kampong Svay, Chhloung, Stueng Trang, and Rovieng receiving 110–130 mm, well above LTAs near 70–80 mm. Northeastern provinces were even wetter: Andoung Meas recorded 142 mm (vs 106 mm average) and Ou Chum 132 mm (vs 101 mm). Only Chey Saen ran drier than usual at 70 mm, about 17 mm below its norm. Temperatures, however, were consistently 1–1.5 °C cooler than normal across the country, making for a wet and mild week. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): 850,000 tons

Forecast 2026: Still insufficient data following implementation of changes to government subsidies (no change from last week).

 

India

Weather: Rainfall was far above normal along both western and eastern belts. Konkan–Kerala districts (Udupi, Dakshina Kannada, Kozhikode, Kasaragod) all collected 220–240 mm, roughly double their LTAs. Sindhudurg and Ratnagiri posted 160–170 mm, surpluses of 60 mm above average. Andhra–Odisha was also soaked, with Visakhapatnam and Srikakulam exceeding 160–185 mm against seasonal norms of 65–80 mm. Temperatures trended cooler by 0.5–1.0 °C across coastal areas. This was an exceptionally wet, mild week across the cashew belt. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): ~800,000 tons

Forecast 2026: 782,000 tons, no change from last week – still too early in the season to discern rain’s impact.

 

Indonesia

Weather: Conditions were mixed. Sulawesi’s Mamuju Utara was notably dry at 35 mm versus its 74 mm norm, while Makassar had 37 mm, about double average. Bali–Lombok districts (Tabanan, Jembrana, Banyuwangi) were wetter than usual, with totals 9–18 mm against LTAs of 6–9 mm. Malang also recorded a surplus at 26 mm vs 9 mm typical. Kupang and Mataram, however, were dry to near-normal with <3 mm. Temperatures stayed close to average, leaving a pattern of wetter south and dry north. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2023 (harvest year, 2024 not available): 366 kg/ha

Forecast 2025: 384 kg/ha (continued unsettled weather causing slight fluctuations in estimate)

 

Ivory Coast

Weather: Southern and central districts experienced widespread dryness. Sassandra-Marahoué, Bas-Sassandra, Gôh-Djiboua, and Lacs all recorded only 12–20 mm, far below LTAs of ~52–62 mm. Montagnes fared somewhat better at 43 mm, though still nearly 30 mm short of normal. Temperatures were steady, running within 0.3–0.5 °C of average. The week was consistently drier than usual across the producing zones. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): 1,250,000 tons

Forecast 2026: Early season projections indicate a decrease of 10 to 15% (no change from last week).

 

Nigeria

Weather: Key producing states were much drier than normal. Kogi (Lokoja, Kabba/Bunu) received barely 16–19 mm, deficits of over 50 mm. Enugu’s Nsukka and Enugu East were similarly dry at 16–17 mm, more than 55 mm below normal. Oyo and Ogun states (Ibadan, Ogbomosho, Abeokuta, Ijebu-Ode) saw only 9–13 mm against LTAs of 53–62 mm. Anambra’s Onitsha South and Awka North also lagged with ~19 mm, well under 55 mm typical. Temperatures were close to norms. Overall, conditions were conspicuously dry nationwide. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2026 (harvest year): 450 kg/ha (no change from last week).

 

Tanzania

Weather: Rainfall remained negligible across southern cashew zones, with Mtwara, Masasi, and Lindi receiving less than 1 mm compared with LTAs of 0.5–1.5 mm. Northern coastal areas (Bagamoyo, Kibaha, Tanga, Muheza) were drier than usual, at 3–7 mm compared with 7–14 mm norms. Temperatures trended 0.5–1.0 °C cooler than average in most locations, with Songea Rural slightly warmer. The week was quiet, marked by seasonal dryness and mild conditions. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): 528,000 tons

Forecast 2026: 559,000 tons (no change from last week).

 

Vietnam

Weather: Heavy rains dominated across the Southeast and Central Highlands. Đồng Xoài, Biên Hòa, and Long Khánh each recorded 112–137 mm, about 35–50 mm above their LTAs. Pleiku was particularly wet at 143 mm, nearly 50 mm above normal, while Buôn Ma Thuột and Phan Thiết were closer to average with small surpluses. Temperatures were consistently 1–1.5 °C cooler than usual in both the southeast and the highlands, leaving conditions notably wet and mild. Cashews Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2025 (harvest year): 1,200 kg/ha

Forecast 2026: 1,455 kg/ha (no change from last week).

 

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