Weekly Cashew Report: Week 44 2025

Benin

Broad drying: northern hubs posted near-zero totals and double-digit absolute deficits (e.g., Kandi 0.0 mm vs 1.2 mm LTA; Boukoumbé 0.22 mm vs 15.16 mm), while the southern-central belt also ran below average (Abomey −15.36 mm; Bohicon −15.27 mm). Temperatures were near to slightly below LTA. Relative to last week’s south-led wetness, the signal flipped drier across the belt. Benin Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2025 (harvest year): 430 kg/ha

Forecast 2026: 413 kg/ha (slight increase due to drier conditions).

 

Brazil

Bahia’s coast stayed notably wet: Ilhéus 81.4 mm vs 35.4 mm LTA and Porto Seguro 87.0 mm vs 30.3 mm, both with cooler means (~−1.5 °C). Interior Ceará–Piauí remained hot-leaning with scant rain (e.g., Piripiri 4.9 mm; Campo Maior 3.4 mm), though means were a touch below LTA. Net-net, pattern broadly echoes last week: coastal surpluses alongside warm, mostly dry interior. Brazil Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2024 (harvest year): 358 kg/ha

Forecast 2025: 318 kg/ha (increase due to consistent conditions – expected to be off-year in alternate bearing cycle).

 

Cambodia

Eastern highlands turned materially wetter: Ou Chum 74.7 mm vs 37.7 mm (+37.0 mm) and Andoung Meas 85.5 mm vs 37.1 mm (+48.4 mm), with mean temps ~1–1.2 °C below LTA. Central districts were mixed to slightly drier (e.g., Stueng Trang −12.4 mm; Kampong Svay/Prasat Sambour −13.0 mm), while Chhloung hovered near LTA. Versus last week’s widespread drying, wetness re-emerged in Ratanakiri-adjacent zones. Cambodia Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): 850,000 tons

Forecast 2026: Still insufficient data following implementation of changes to government subsidies (no change from last week).

 

India

Core west-coast cashew belt flipped sharply wetter: Sindhudurg 137.0 mm vs 42.8 mm LTA (+94.2 mm) and Ratnagiri 89.5 mm vs 33.8 mm (+55.7 mm), with means ~1.7–1.9 °C below LTA. Bay-side Andhra–Odisha also ran wet: Visakhapatnam 66.3 mm vs 19.4 mm, Srikakulam 74.4 mm vs 20.3 mm, and Ganjam 55.9 mm vs 24.6 mm. Compared with last week’s Konkan/Kerala dryness, the week turned decisively wetter on both coasts. India Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): ~800,000 tons

Forecast 2026: 789,000 tons (slight increase from last week due to wetter conditions).

 

Indonesia

Wet-and-cool pulse strengthened in production hubs: Mataram 159.0 mm vs 47.0 mm LTA (+112.0 mm; mean −3.2 °C vs LTA), Tabanan 92.3 mm vs 45.8 mm (+46.5 mm), and Sulawesi’s Mamuju Utara/Makassar +37–47 mm over LTA. East Nusa Tenggara (Kupang) was the exception, materially drier (1.9 mm vs 13.6 mm). Relative to last week’s already wet WNT/Sulawesi signal, the moisture anomaly broadened and cooled further. Indonesia Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2023 (harvest year, 2024 not available): 366 kg/ha

Forecast 2025: 379 kg/ha (slight decrease due to wetter and cooler weather).

 

Ivory Coast

Widespread dryness across key belts: Bondoukou 1.5 mm vs 23.9 mm LTA (−22.3 mm), Korhogo 1.2 mm vs 12.3 mm (−11.0 mm), Séguéla 10.2 mm vs 20.6 mm (−10.4 mm), and Odienné 3.1 mm vs 15.6 mm (−12.5 mm), with means ~1.0–1.3 °C below LTA. This marks a reversal from last week’s western/northwestern wetness to broad deficits. Ivory Coast Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): 1,250,000 tons

Forecast 2026: Early season projections indicate a decrease of 5 to 10% (no change from last week).

 

Nigeria

Deficits persisted across production hubs: Enugu East 10.2 mm vs 39.8 mm LTA (−29.6 mm) and Nsukka 14.2 mm vs 43.7 mm (−29.6 mm); in Kogi, Lokoja 1.8 mm vs 13.0 mm (−11.2 mm) and Kabba/Bunu 3.3 mm vs 15.8 mm (−12.5 mm). Oyo sites were similarly short (Ibadan NW −16.2 mm; Ogbomosho North −13.7 mm). Compared with last week’s deficits, the pattern broadly continued. Nigeria Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2026 (harvest year): 447 kg/ha (no change from last week).

 

Tanzania

Core belt remained near seasonal with small totals: Mtwara 2.8 mm vs 3.7 mm LTA; Lindi 5.5 mm vs 5.6 mm; Songea Rural 2.1 mm vs 4.2 mm. Northern coast again trended drier (e.g., Muheza −13.8 mm; Tanga −11.4 mm), similar to last week’s coastal shortfalls. 
Early indications of harvest totals suggest production may exceed model estimates. Tanzania Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): 528,000 tonnes

Forecast 2026:  573,000 tonnes (slight increase due to consistent weather overall).

 

Vietnam

Southeast and Central Highlands turned decisively wetter and cooler: Đồng Xoài 138.8 mm vs 60.5 mm LTA (+78.3 mm), Biên Hòa 90.1 mm vs 60.1 mm (+30.0 mm), Long Khánh +22.8 mm, and in the Highlands Buôn Ma Thuột 77.4 mm vs 27.2 mm (+50.3 mm) and Pleiku 93.5 mm vs 34.3 mm (+59.2 mm), with means ~1.2–1.7 °C below LTA. Versus last week’s widespread deficits, conditions flipped to robust surpluses. Vietnam Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2025 (harvest year): 1,200 kg/ha

Forecast 2026: 1,453 kg/ha (no change from last week).