Weekly Cashew Report: Week 45 2025

Benin

Broad drying prevailed: northern and central hubs were near-zero with double-digit absolute deficits—Boukoumbé 0.12 mm vs 11.22 (−11.10 mm), Savalou 1.18 vs 14.29 (−13.11), Glazoué 1.56 vs 13.83 (−12.27). Southern Abomey/Bohicon also trended below LTA (−4.8 to −8.3 mm). This largely continues last week’s belt-wide dryness. Benin Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2025 (harvest year): 430 kg/ha

Forecast 2026: 418 kg/ha (slight increase due to drier conditions).

 

Brazil

Bahia’s coast flipped drier: Ilhéus 8.1 mm vs 30.6 mm LTA (−22.6 mm) and Porto Seguro 5.5 vs 36.3 (−30.8 mm), a sharp reversal from last week’s coastal surpluses. Inland Ceará–Piauí remained hot-leaning with scant rain (Piripiri 0.3 vs 1.5; Campo Maior 0.3 vs 2.1). Brazil Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2024 (harvest year): 358 kg/ha

Forecast 2025: 318 kg/ha (no change from last week).

 

Cambodia

Eastern and north-central districts were strongly wetter and cooler: Ou Chum 89.9 mm vs 40.3 (+49.6 mm), Andoung Meas 87.5 vs 41.4 (+46.1), Stueng Trang 87.2 vs 37.5 (+49.7), and Chhloung 77.6 vs 38.1 (+39.5). Means ran ~2 °C below LTA across these sites. Compared with last week’s re-emerging wetness in the highlands, this week intensified and spread the surplus east–central. Cambodia Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): 850,000 tons

Forecast 2026: Still insufficient data following implementation of changes to government subsidies (no change from last week).

 

India

Both coasts were materially wet and cooler than average in core cashew belts: Konkan/Goa posted large surpluses—Sindhudurg 55.9 mm vs 10.2 (+45.6), Ratnagiri 51.1 vs 4.6 (+46.5), North Goa 65.2 vs 11.9 (+53.2), South Goa 66.5 vs 12.6 (+53.9). On the Bay side, Andhra–Odisha sites were likewise above LTA (Visakhapatnam +29.1 mm; Srikakulam +37.7; Ganjam +38.0). Relative to last week’s turn to wetness, the wet, cool bias persisted and expanded. India Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): ~800,000 tons

Forecast 2026: 787,000 tons (slight decrease from last week due to drier conditions).

 

Indonesia

West Nusa Tenggara ‘s (WNT) hub stayed markedly wet and cool: Mataram 152.9 mm vs 45.1 mm LTA (+107.8 mm; mean ~−4.2 °C vs LTA), while East Nusa Tenggara flipped drier (Kupang 8.0 mm vs 21.0 mm, −13.0 mm). Sulawesi was mixed—Makassar ran above LTA (51.3 vs 34.9, +16.4 mm), but Mamuju Utara was materially short (34.4 vs 61.6, −27.2 mm). Relative to last week’s broad wet pulse in WNT and Sulawesi, the excess persisted in WNT but became more uneven across Sulawesi. Indonesia Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2023 (harvest year, 2024 not available): 366 kg/ha

Forecast 2025: 379 kg/ha (no change from last week).

 

Ivory Coast

Widespread deficits continued across core belts: Bondoukou 1.2 mm vs 23.5 (−22.2 mm), Korhogo 0.3 vs 15.5 (−15.2), Séguéla 1.9 vs 27.7 (−25.8), and Odienné 1.0 vs 18.3 (−17.4). Temperatures hovered near to slightly below LTA. The pattern broadly extends last week’s dryness across the north and northwest. Ivory Coast Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): 1,250,000 tons

Forecast 2026: Early season projections indicate a decrease of 5 to 10% (no change from last week).

 

Nigeria

Deficits persisted across key hubs: Kogi’s Lokoja 1.9 mm vs 12.9 (−11.0 mm) and Kabba/Bunu 2.35 vs 13.24 (−10.89); Enugu East 18.1 vs 28.5 (−10.5) and Nsukka 15.6 vs 31.4 (−15.8); Oyo’s Ogbomosho North 3.9 vs 16.2 (−12.2). A few south-west/coastal sites had nearer-LTA showers (e.g., Ijebu-Ode 44.8 vs 47.5). Overall theme mirrors last week’s dryness with only localized improvement. Nigeria Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2026 (harvest year): 447 kg/ha (no change from last week).

 

Tanzania

Core southern belt was near seasonal with small totals and only modest anomalies (Mtwara +1.7 mm; Lindi +1.9 mm; Songea Rural −7.9 mm). By contrast, the northern coast turned notably wetter than LTA (Muheza 48.7 mm vs 27.7 mm, +21.0 mm; Tanga 33.1 vs 21.6, +11.4 mm). Versus last week’s coastal shortfalls, the signal shifted to a wetter north coast while key southern hubs stayed close to average. Tanzania Weather Information – CropGPT

Production 2025 (harvest year): 528,000 tonnes

Forecast 2026:  581,000 tonnes (increase due to consistent weather overall).

Comment: The start of Tanzania’s 2025/26 cashew auctions was postponed after post-election unrest and a nationwide curfew disrupted logistics and communication.
Ports remain open, and the situation is expected to normalize soon.
Full analysis: “Tanzania: Cashew Auction Delay Amid Post-Election Unrest”

 

Vietnam

Southeast and Central Highlands stayed decisively wetter and cooler: Đồng Xoài 95.6 mm vs 52.5 (+43.1 mm), Biên Hòa 90.3 vs 48.1 (+42.2), Long Khánh +42.0 mm; Highlands hubs were stronger still (Buôn Ma Thuột 101.2 vs 29.9, +71.3; Pleiku 85.1 vs 47.5, +37.6). Means ran ~2–3 °C below LTA across key sites. Following last week’s flip to surpluses, the wet, cool signal persisted and broadened. Vietnam Weather Information – CropGPT

Yield 2025 (harvest year): 1,200 kg/ha

Forecast 2026: 1,441 kg/ha (slight decrease due to consistent precipitation).